Friday, January 29, 2010

Kondratieff wave

A 50 year-long business cycle, named after Nicolai Kondratieff, a Russian economist. He claimed to have identified cycles of economic activity lasting half a century or more in his 1925 book, the long waves in economic life. Because this implied that capitalism was, ultimately, a stable system, in contrast to the Marxist view that it was self-destructively unstable, he ended up in one of Stalin’s prisons, where he died. Alas, there is little hard evidence to support Kondratieff’s conclusion.

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